Sunday, September 24, 2023

The American Money Laundromat

 

'Supply-and-Demand' is not simply a 'macro' concept.  It also works at the 'micro' level.  Indeed, any economic concept that doesn't work in both macroeconomics and microeconomics is automatically suspect of being flawed in ways that may not be intuitively obvious.

The other salient concept for any functioning money laundromat is that one can't sell an asset unless there is also a buyer.  A seller prospects for buyers by adjusting the price to meet the available demand.  This is how a 'Dutch auction' works, and is the method I always suggest for anxious home sellers.  An anxious seller wants to maximize their revenue, so offering prices start high and decline, perhaps precipitously and predictably.

These related concepts can help us understand what's happening in cities all across our nation as well as across the globe.  When flawed governmental policies — is that an oxymoron? — cause property values to decline, rational businesses tend to 'cut their losses' by dumping their failing assets onto the market.  When the offering price becomes low enough, buyers with available cash — and the flexibility to ride out the current bad times — can pick up assets whose value may, sometime in the future, be worth more than their book value.

This is what we're seeing in places like San Francisco, Seattle, and Maui.  Counter-productive policies and incentives drive the value — and the offering prices — of real estate down, and flush investors snap up the formerly-valuable properties at bargain-basement prices.

If this scenario is accidental and/or unforeseen, our elected officials can be forgiven — maybe.  What if it's deliberate?  We know our foreign aid structure is designed to launder taxpayer money back into the pockets of Washington insiders.  Have our state and local governments decided to get into the laundromat business, too?

 

Friday, September 8, 2023

What's a Hunga-Tonka?

 

Good golly, it's HOT!  Isn't that what everyone's saying?  Must be global warming climate change...

Well, maybe...  Maybe not.  Have you heard about the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano that erupted on January 15th, 2022?  NASA said the underwater eruption — at about 150 meters depth — blasted 'huge amounts' of water vapor into the stratosphere.  Well, that's a bummer! 

Why is that a bummer, you ask?  It turns out that water vapor is a better 'greenhouse gas' than carbon dioxide, that's why.  All that water vapor is like adding a few extra blankets...  Just what we need to make our Summers a little cozier.

So when your climate-alarmist friends start ranting about record hot days and it's all your fault because you aren't doing your part to reduce the globe's carbon footprint, you can remind them that Hunga-Tonka just wiped out all the 'progress' made in the last 15 years.

Puny humans!  You're no match for Gaia!